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随着俄乌冲突持续，俄罗斯国防部的智库机构——俄罗斯军事研究所（RMI）对局势进行了深入评估，得出了以下关键结论：
俄军的总体目标是控制顿巴斯地区和乌克兰南部海岸，切断乌克兰与黑海的联系。然而，乌克兰军队在西方的军事援助下，进行了顽强的抵抗，战争陷入僵局。俄军在顿巴斯的缓慢进展反映出乌克兰防御的有效性，以及俄罗斯军队后勤和兵力不足的问题。
Western sanctions have had a significant impact on Russia's economy, but the full effects are yet to be seen. The restrictions on energy exports and access to key technologies have disrupted supply chains and led to a decline in GDP. However, Russia has implemented countermeasures, including import substitution and increased trade with non-Western countries, to mitigate the impact of the sanctions.
Despite ongoing negotiations, there is little progress towards a diplomatic solution. Russia's insistence on stringent conditions, including recognition of annexed territories, has been met with resistance from Ukraine and its Western allies. The West continues to support Ukraine's sovereignty and territorial integrity, while Russia accuses the West of escalating the conflict.
The war has had a devastating impact on the Ukrainian population. The Russian military has been accused of war crimes and indiscriminate shelling of civilian areas. The displacement of millions of Ukrainians and the destruction of infrastructure have created a humanitarian crisis. The Ukrainian people remain resilient, but there is widespread anger and resentment towards Russia.
Western countries have condemned Russia's aggression and provided military and economic aid to Ukraine. NATO has strengthened its presence in Eastern Europe and is committed to defending its member states from any Russian aggression. The West has also imposed sanctions on Russia and is supporting efforts to hold it accountable for war crimes.
The global community has largely condemned Russia's invasion of Ukraine. The United Nations General Assembly voted overwhelmingly to demand Russia's withdrawal. Many countries have provided humanitarian assistance to Ukraine and have imposed sanctions on Russia. However, some countries, such as China and India, have maintained a neutral stance.
The Russian military's assessment of the conflict highlights the challenges facing both sides. The military stalemate, economic sanctions, and diplomatic impasse suggest that the war is likely to continue for some time. The humanitarian suffering and global security risks posed by the conflict underscore the urgent need for a peaceful resolution.
